A very rewarding area to be explored towards achieving target profit on trading activities is Media Meta Analysis.
This incorporates many of the features previously posted at: http://footballisfixed.blogspot.com/2006/11/trading-against-media-disinformation.html.
The aim of this type of market analysis is to collate and weight all media disinformation and to utilise this disinformation to enhance your personal view of the trading place. One needs to develop Configurative Trading Sub-Models to achieve this outcome (see: http://footballisfixed.blogspot.com/2007/01/fundamentals-configurative-parameters.html).
Firstly, identify the relevant media and weight the information flow by column centimetres or air time; by positional relationships within the media and by the impact of the particular media.
Secondly, you are required to determine the likelihood of the supposed information being active disinformation. We have no desire to explore the analytical complexities involved around this area in this post.
Thirdly, Media Meta Analysis should be incorporated into the overall trading model for the event as it is often possible to determine disinformation through addressing the fundamentals.
The final output may be utilised in sports, financial and political markets and shares many characteristics with the largely random contrary trading undertaken by many financial professionals.
As a single media outlet example, let's look at the information in the Racing Post on Saturday. Dan Childs provides verdicts on the Premiership games and below are details of his positions together with how many points the Racing Post suggested (1 = low level position/ 4 = high level position) and the outcome of such trading advice. Only positions related to supremacy are included ie no Total Goals or Bookings positions.
Aston Villa v WEST HAM - 1pt at 7/2 (LOSER)
BLACKBURN v Sheff Utd - 1pt to win to nil at 9/5 (LOSER)
Charlton v CHELSEA - 4pts at -1.25 on Asian Handicap (LOSER)
Fulham v NEWCASTLE - 2pts at 11/5 (LOSER)
WATFORD v Bolton - 1pt at 13/5 (LOSER)
WIGAN v Portsmouth - 1pt at 17/10 (WINNER)
LIVERPOOL v Everton - 0.5pt to win 2-1 at 15/2 (LOSER)
MIDDLESBROUGH v Arsenal - 2pts at 4/1 (LOSER)
In addition, the main football headline encouraged readers to back Liverpool to win and Gerrard to score (LOSER).
9 advices and 1 winning position is supportive of our general view that the Racing Post has the betting industry's best intentions at heart.
