Tuesday, 15 July 2014

How The FIFA World Cup 2014 Was Fixed


With our partners, we have produced a consultancy document indicating the various ways in which the FIFA World Cup failed to be a tournament of integrity both in the particular and in the holistic.

We share the 16 section titles of this document with you.
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Matchfixing and Corruption linked to Roy Hodgson and England

The Role of English Media in Corruptions orchestrated within the England set up

Matchfixing linked to British Agents and English Bookmakers

The Role of Proxies to disguise Insider Trading - the inability or unwillingness of Europol, Federbet and Early Warning to detect Insider Trading

An Assessment of German Strategies in comparison with England 

Matchfixing orchestrated by the FIFA Family  

Cabals of FIFA Referees working to achieve agreed outcomes via specific networks of Corruption

Insider Gambling by certain Referees

Issues with the selection of Referees being in the hands of Massimo Busacca

Exposing the Five Teams that utilised Performance Enhancing Substances

20% of FIFA World Cup Matches were Fixed - We reveal the full list

The Role of Offshore Dark Pool Markets in Matchfixing

A Thorough Analysis of Betting Patterns on all 64 matches

Areas of Impact of the South East Asian Markets and comparisons of control exerted by other Dark Pool Markets

A Listing of 30 Players involved in Matchfixing

A Bayesian Analysis on the Impact of the World Cup on Sabermetrics and the Transfer Markets

Configurative Analyses of Fitness, Tiredness and Travel and the Impact on World Cup as a Spectacle
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We are auctioning off one copy of this extensive consultancy document to industry professionals.

The document not only provides total coverage of the manner in which World Cup 2014 was fixed but also allows parallel analyses to be undertaken for all future tournaments.

Bids should be logged via Twitter Direct Message on the @FootballisFixed account by July 31st 2014.
The winning bidder will be informed immediately thereafter.
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© Football is Fixed 2006-2014


Saturday, 12 July 2014

The Shit Squad


We asked our Asian broker, a UEFA administrator, our publishers and a former Norwegian international to choose the worst players, referee and manager at the World Cup in Brazil.

The selections were made based on matchfixing, links to insider trading bookmakers and/or agents, motivational deficiencies and lack of professionalism.

Here is what they came up with...
... the Shit Squad.

Manager Roy Hodgson (England)

Goalkeepers Hart (England), Rui Patricio (Portugal), Casillas (Spain)

Defenders Jagielka (England), David Luiz (Brazil), Pepe (Portugal), Assou Ekotto (Cameroon), Johnson (England), Ramos (Spain), Baines (England)

Midfielders W. Palacios (Honduras), Gerrard (England), Song (Cameroon), Katsouranis (Greece), Henderson (England), Fernandinho (Brazil), Luiz Gustavo (Brazil), Meireles (Portugal), Alonso (Spain)

Forwards Fred (Brazil), Suarez (Uruguay), Nani (Portugal), Boateng (Ghana)

Referee Carballo (Spain)

12 of the squad played in the English Premier League last season (9 in Liverpool or Manchester!).

The EPL - the best league on the planet?

For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014

Friday, 11 July 2014

Four Referees And A Linesman - Guest Post by Bob Pomfret


A rare guest post with a, hopefully, tongue-in-cheek assessment of half a century of failures by the England football team.
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I blame Carlos Velasco Carballo. 

‘Who’s he?’ I hear you ask.

He’s a referee of course. He’s the referee that stopped England from winning the World Cup in Brazil this summer. You may think, having seen the England team fly home after three winless games, that this is stretching the imagination too far, but you’re wrong. In fact let me add some more names: José Roberto Wright, Jorge Larrionda, Ali Bin Nasser. There are others, but in my very humble opinion these are the four worst offenders.

It’s Tuesday 19th June, twenty eight minutes past eight here in Woodstock, not sure what time that is in the Corinthians stadium Sao Paulo but never mind. Daniel Sturridge is roaring down the wing when he gets elbowed off the ball by Uruguay captain Diego Godin. It’s a yellow card, anybody could see it’s a yellow card. REFEREE, It’s clearly a yellow card. Now, any other time I’m sure it would have been given, but twenty minutes earlier Godin had already been booked for handball, and Carlos Velasco Carballo, yes you Mr Carballo, bottled it. No second card, Godin stays on the pitch. Ten minutes later Suarez scores the first of two goals to send us on our way out of the cup, and home to unfair ridicule in the press.

‘So what if Godin had been sent off?'
 
Well, naturally England would have won. And the momentum would have carried us forward to glory. We would have beaten Costa Rica in the next game, topped the group, gone on to trounce Greece in the following round, and stormed past a fading Holland in the Quarter Finals. After coming out on top in a tough tight game with Argentina in the Semi’s, the nation would bask in the glorious sunshine of victory over arch rivals Germany in the final. In the bag, our fifth World Cup victory.

‘Fifth?’ I hear you say, ‘Surely Bob you’ve got that wrong, its 48 years of hurt since England last won the World Cup in 1966.’ 

Well yes, technically it is nearly half a century, and counting, since we won the cup but if it were not for Messrs Wright, Larrionda and Bin Nasser, and of course Mr Carballo, I feel pretty damned confident we would today be on the verge of winning our fifth World Cup. I have a fairly strong sense of injustice about a couple of others, and two or three European Championships too, but for now I’ll concentrate on making the case for five World Cup wins. 

I’ll start with the closest that we got. The one that hurts the most for me personally. It’s 1990. ‘Italia 90’, I loved it. Pavarotti singing ‘Nessum Dorma’ and John Barnes rapping on ‘World in Motion’. After a very slow start, England were playing great football. Platt’s last minute goal against Belgium was the best of the tournament. Lineker was on form, Gazza was at his peak. It was a brilliant World Cup. And suddenly we were through to the Semi-finals.

You remember it? Of course you do... the penalty shoot-out versus West Germany. Waddle whacks his penalty over the bar, hangs his head in despair, and the nation joins Gazza in floods of tears. Okay, fair enough. I don’t blame Chris Waddle (well I do a bit). Anybody can miss a penalty, especially the fifth penalty of five in a World Cup semi-final, but in the minutes leading up to that shoot out, the referee, José Roberto Wright (Yes you, Mr Wright), made two key decisions that went against us. 

I’ll start with the second one. Nine minutes from the end of extra time, Platt scored a goal which, had it been given would have put us 2-1 up. He was flagged offside and okay, maybe he was offside, but it was s-o-o-o close and it could easily have been given couldn’t it? I’d have given it. That was bad enough, but the real reason that Mr Wright cost us the 1990 World Cup came a few minutes earlier.

It was the ninth minute of extra time and Paul Gascoigne, who had collected a yellow card earlier in the tournament, and knew he would miss the final if he got another one, tackled Thomas Berthold. I’m not denying it was a foul, but, was it a bad foul? Was it worthy of the 428 rollovers that Berthold managed to perform, before lying dead at the edge of the pitch? Was it? No it bloody wasn’t. 

If anybody deserved a card, it should have been Berthold for behaving like an arse, Instead the ref waves the card into Gazza’s face, and that was that... I was very nearly sobbing myself.

‘And, the point is Bob?’ 

Well, the point is, that had the referee not been sold a very smelly salmon by Berthold, who by the way got up and was absolutely fine, Gazza would, I’m sure, have driven England forward into the final.

‘And when we got there?’ 

We would have brushed aside Argentina, who had lost half their first choice team to injury and suspension, and the cup would have been ours. 

‘And there are two more World Cups we should have won?’ I can hear the hint of scepticism in your voice. Well, yes there are. When I remind you, I’m sure you will remember them as clearly as me.

1986. The year of the ‘Hand of God’. I’m not going to dwell on this for too long but the plain straightforward simple truth is that Diego Maradona handled the ball to beat Peter Shilton. Referee Ali Bin Nasser managed to miss the incident, and instead of sending Maradona off, he let the goal stand. Maradona scored again later to secure a 2-1 win. Argentina went on to win the World Cup. As we were definitely better than them, it’s clear that, had Mr Magoo not been the referee, after only 20 years of minor discomfort, we would have won our second World Cup.

2010. The year of ‘the goal that wasn’t’. If I’m entirely honest, I’m not absolutely totally completely and utterly sure that we would have beaten Spain, had we met them later in the competition, but for the sake of my claim, let’s not dwell on that. What I am clear about, is that referee Jorge Larrionda did his very best to make sure that we would never find out how things would have gone had we taken on the Spanish.

I’ll take you back to June 27th 2010. The game is against Germany (again). Remember? The stadium is full, the vuvuzelas are driving everybody loopy, and England have started very badly. After conceding two early goals it looks like we might get over run, but first Matthew Upson gets a goal back, and then, just before half-time, Lampard beats the goalkeeper with a shot from thirty yards. The ball hits the bar, drops a full yard behind the line, and here in Woodstock we are bouncing round the living room. But, and it is a very big bastard of a but, somehow Mr Larrionda and his linesman appear not to notice that Frank has scored… at the same time as the big screens are showing the ball bounce behind the line, Larrionda is waving play on. 45 minutes later it’s all over, and it’ll be another four years before Carlos Velasco Carballo comes along and spoils yet another World Cup for us. 

So there you go. If history were not full of bloody awful referees, next Sunday we’d be celebrating England’s fifth World Cup win.

‘And the linesman?’ Ah, good. You haven’t forgotten that the title features five officials. It’s the marvelous Mister Tofiq Bahramov, of course.

‘Who is he?’ 

Who is Mr Tofiq Bahramov? He is the very best, the most competent, lineman ever to wave his flag in a World Cup final. Mr Tofiq Bahramov is the wonderful wonderful man who spotted that Geoff Hurst’s shot had so clearly gone over the line in the World Cup Final at Wembley in 1966. Mr Tofiq Bahramov is without doubt the greatest match official of all time. 

For the record, the other World Cups we might well have won, and who deserves the blame for failure: 

1970 – Alf Ramsey’s fault for taking Bobby Charlton off, at 2-0 up versus Germany. We lost 3-2.

1974 – Brian Clough’s fault. We fail to qualify after he calls Polish Goalkeeper, Jan Tomaszewski, a clown. No need to ask who was man of the match. 

1982 – Ron Greenwood this time, brings on Keegan and Brooking too late against Spain. We need to win, draw 0-0 and come home unbeaten. 

1994 – The FA take the blame, for giving Graham ‘Do I not like Orange’ Taylor the job of taking the team that should have won in 1990, and failing to qualify four years later. 

1998 – Complex one this one: Hoddle for not picking Gazza, Danny Baker and Chris Evans for getting photographed getting pissed with Gazza and giving Hoddle the excuse not to play him, and Eileen Drewery for trying to get God on our side. Maradona had already established whose side the almighty is on 12 years earlier. 

2002 – David Beckham’s second metatarsal on his left foot. 

2006 – Christiano Ronaldo’s fault for encouraging the referee to send off Rooney. And the resultant wink to camera was unforgivable… well I haven’t forgiven him, maybe you are a better person! 

Just in case you are wondering, I haven’t forgotten 1978, but we were just crap that year!

Saturday, 28 June 2014

5 Fixed Matches From FIFA World Cup 2014


We gave you ten fixed matches involving English teams that were conspiratorially fixed and/or involved excessive insider trading (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/ten-fixed-matches.html).

We follow up with a similar listing of five FIFA World Cup 2014 matches from the Group Stage that were corrupted.

So while the mainstream media focuses on really ludicrous things like how Roy Hodgson deserves to keep his job and the ridiculous banning of Luis Suarez, the world's premier footballing tournament is being dismantled by mainstream criminals within the game.

The turnover on World Cup games reaches tens of billions on some matches...
... the benefits of corruption are evident.

Aspects of the England set up are particularly problematical.

Four of the matches below were English-based matchfixing events.
 
There is a mafia behind the England team (and English football) that does not have any interest in sporting success.
These people are making many millions out of their corruptions and are carcinogenic in their spread through the British game.

Furthermore, most of the media people who you trust to inform you about realities are either involved in the corruptions, have knowledge of them or accommodate such realities as simply being part of the modern game.

So why aren't Europol/Interpol checking out the following...?

Brazil v Croatia - fixed match/ insider betting/ suspect referee performance.

France v Honduras - bookmaker influenced matchfixing/ insider betting/ restricted volume pre-match.

Italy v England - fixed match/ insider betting/ agents involvement.

England v Uruguay - fixed match/ insider betting/ agents involvement.

Colombia v Ivory Coast - fixed match/ insider betting/ suspect referee performance.

For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014

Friday, 20 June 2014

Did You Not Like That?


Roy Hodgson only became England manager by virtue of not being Harry Redknapp.

After England were all but eliminated by a country with a population a third the size of Greater London, Roy Hodgson is "adamant" that he will not resign in the wake of the country's worst ever World Cup performance.
But it is an outrage that Hodgson was ever appointed in the first place.
The man has only won one league title (the Danish) in a quarter of a century and, with England eliminated at the group stage for the first time since 1958, he should have the decency to step down post-tournament.

But with £3.5m per annum plus fringe benefits and perks, Roy is not going to resign!

There were 72 support staff for the England World Cup debacle...
... if you give 72 monkies a typewriter, they don't produce Macbeth.

But surely we could expect something more than Noddy?

We detail why this was a project doomed to failure.

Roy Hodgson 

"I don't think we let the country down" - Roy Hodgson.

Hodgson appears to have far too great an affinity with a few agents - Stellar and Base represent the goalkeeper and the entire defence (that would be the defence that has just been responsible for losing the first two tournament games for the first time in England's history).
Hodgson himself is represented by Base.
Meanwhile, remember the two outlier selections for Euro 2012 - Kelly and Butland - they too were both Stellar clients at the time.
Key Sports' players gain special privileges too.

Non-meritocratic selection from an already limited pool of players is not a strong strategy.

Furthermore, in a fair world, Fulham would have been relegated when Hodgson was manager there but were saved by a match of highly questionable integrity that resulted in Reading being demoted in their stead.

Without making any allegations of shenanigans, the very fact that Hart, Johnson, Jagielka (Stellar) and Baines, Cahill, Hodgson (Base) are effectively in control of the entire global betting market on England World Cup games (and these markets have been colossally liquid in Brasil) should be a cause for concern.
Everybody has a price.

Joe Hart 

In the two games to date, Joe Hart has been the weakest performer via ratings and the primary reason for the underachievement of the England team.

Versus Italy, there were six shots on target - two goals, two shots hit the woodwork with Hart nowhere to be seen, another shot was cleared off the line by Jagielka and Hart dangerously fumbled the only other effort.

Versus Uruguay, 2 shots, 2 goals.
There was no spring in his step in attempting to save the first goal and he appeared the antithesis of Peter Schmeichel as he made himself as small a target as possible for the second goal.

Perhaps if the man focused on football rather than on the financial lubrications of Head & Shoulders, Gillette and Doritos, a more professional performance might be achieved.

Incidentally, and once again not intending any suggestions of anything, the turnover on these England World Cup matches has been in the billions.
At some point, a manager/agent/defence triumvirate (or an agent/goalkeeper one) is going to exploit that opportunity for excessively astronomical levels of profit.

Dr Steve Peters 

The appointment of a psychologist to help the team prepare for the World Cup was a good idea...
... thinking that Dr Peters was the right man to do that job was myopic.

He was chosen for his work at Liverpool.
But Liverpool won nothing last season despite the benefit of no Champions League matches and a bizarre tilt in refereeing decisions.

The key disastrous strategy took place in the game last night.

England players (including his Liverpool colleagues) were instructed to ignore Luis Suarez in the tunnel prior to the game in the mistaken belief that this would undermine the Uruguayan's sense of self.

There could not have been a more self-harming strategy.
You don't wind up a highly talented street-fighter who knows your weaknesses.
Suarez was energised by the collective slur.
England gave the South Americans a goal start!

After Peters monitored Suarez from close quarters throughout a season, how could he fail to diagnose the Uruguayan's psychological state?

Of course, in a corrupted future, such psychologist input could be a benefit to the short-selling of one's nation for proprietary profit. But only in a corrupted future...

Strategic Own Goals 

The list of strategic errors is endless...

Dyke offering the cutthroat gesture at the World Cup draw.
Hodgson dissing the good people of Manaus turning the game into an away match.
Dyke saying Blatter should resign on the eve of the tournament and Triesmann joining in for good measure.
Dyke refusing to offer Hodgson job security pre-tournament.
Not man-marking Pirlo.
Winding up Suarez and then marking him with a player who is repeatedly devastated by the Uruguayan in Merseyside derbies.
Not playing for a draw after equalising against Uruguay.
Hodgson hadn't even done the sums on qualification thinking that England were out of the cup after last night's defeat when, in fact, they could be backed to qualify at around 17/2.
Australia have somehow managed to cover 26km more than England in their two matches. Why wasn't more fitness work undertaken.

Did nobody want England to succeed? Why would that be?

The Gravy Train 

Alongside the underperformance of the team and their management and accomplices, English football has sent over a whole squad of undesirables to leech off the game that they are happily destroying.

The potential choice of punditry is extensive.
So how have BBC and ITV ended up with two representatives of leading bookies, a former Ladbrokes ambassador, a player who defended his brother when the latter was convicted of matchfixing charges, a player charged with illegal betting in the Premier League earlier this season, a manager who utilises PESs, two individuals with knowledge of matchfixing in England and Alan Shearer?

The disinformation from the bookies' representatives has been extensive to the detriment of the viewer who has no idea of the corruptions at play. Viewers have been repeatedly fed incorrect inputs that result in financial loss if acted upon.

There is a charming circularity here in that the footballer (Danny Murphy) who scored the goal that kept Fulham in the Premier League in the corrupted match which sent Reading down is now on the BBC team misinforming us about the World Cup!

These people are hijacking English football for proprietary and non-meritocratic benefit...
... or perhaps something still worse.

In the words of Stuart Pearce: “Other countries must look at us and laugh at times, they really must.”

Sack the lot of them!

Football is Fixed!

For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed  

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014

Friday, 6 June 2014

How Ed Woodward Cost Manchester United £30 Million


Précis

Being a football man or, for that matter, a businessman is no longer enough for a team to reach its full potential due to the levels of corruption in the game.
Top teams need to instigate corrupt practices to exploit their power and to compete with other top sides who are employing similar tactics while lesser teams need to undertake defensive strategies to offset the corruptions perpetrated against their interests.
The strategic knowledge, the ability to create complex scenario analyses, the necessary contacts and market analytical skills (to assess the insider trading that is always linked to corruption) are required to optimise the performance of any serious football club in the postmodern game.

The Background 

Manchester United were available at 100/1 to qualify for the Champions League prior to their match at Everton on April 20th 2014...
... and yet if Ed Woodward and David Moyes had possessed an ounce of strategic planning between them, the club would have been guaranteed fourth place.

Richard Scudamore had announced that it was bad for the Premier League brand for Man Utd to be failing.
UEFA wanted United in the Champions League as there is a necessity for the second biggest global brand to be in the competition.
No other G14 top tier team had ever failed to qualify for the Champions League.
The Glazers understood that their leveraged buyout would be financially insecure with loss of income, deterioration in player value and inability to attract suitable players in future.
It was also understood within the club that they could not fall any further behind Manchester City.
Additionally, British and offshore bookmakers desired United qualification for turnover/profit reasons.
The systemic structure existed.

The Sting 

Manchester United needed to win all five remaining fixtures in their easy run-in while Arsenal achieved no more than 5 points from their final four games and Everton no more than six.
All three sides had to play Hull City (managed by former Red, Steve Bruce).
David Moyes was even sat next to Bruce in the Directors' area for the Aston Villa v Southampton match on April 19th.

If this were Spain, discussions would have taken place regarding maletins being exchanged to ensure suitable performances from Hull City.

With Hull on board, the strategy would have began in earnest.

If the Premier League want for something to occur with their brand, they can facilitate such realities through their control of the 18 PGMOL referees - a combination of Marriner, Atkinson, Webb, Taylor, Clattenburg and Moss as refs/4th officials would have done the trick (Moss and Clattenburg had already been selected for Hull v Arsenal and Everton v Man Utd while Marriner had overseen Everton's defeat by Palace earlier in the week).
As all referee appointments are made via just one individual, Keren Barratt, this offers a closed matrix of manipulation which is very easy to activate.

With Hull and the referees on board, the odds are no longer 100/1!

Approaches would then have been made to two leading firms of agents ####### and ######### who are both willing to 'persuade' their clients to underperform accordingly when requested.
These two firms would have delivered very key individuals in both the Arsenal and Everton teams to allow the maletins to be opened.
Once the corruption was in motion, the frail psychologies of failure relating to both Arsenal and Everton would have been engendered.

With Hull, the match officials, control of two key players in competitor sides and negative psychologies on board, United would have been certain of qualification and the £20 million that would have gone with it.

Instead, Woodward lost both this money and the £10 million it took to pay off David Moyes.

The amount that the corruption would have cost would have been a fraction of these totals and, obviously, significant inroads could have been made into the costs by trading on the fraudulent events in the Dark Pool and Asian Underground Betting Markets.

If you think that this scenario sounds incredible, I can assure you that similar corruptions occur every single season in the Champions League, Serie A and La Liga.

Football is Fixed!

For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed  

© Football is Fixed 2006-2014

Monday, 13 January 2014

John Colquhoun And Jonathan Moss - A Marriage Made In Sunderland

               John "Napoleon Complex" Colquhoun With His Shiny Face and His Threats and Menaces

John Colquhoun is a football agent (Key Sports Management) and a professional gambler.

Jonathan Moss is a Premier League referee who struggles to keep up with the game.

They first became acquainted while both were players at Sunderland over twenty years ago...
... and their romance has truly blossomed in the intervening years.

Below we detail some issues regarding this relationship within the wider sphere of systemic corruption in the Premier League.

Incidentally, Mr Moss also surfaces as a headmaster at Beech Hill primary school in Halifax...
... so, if you live in the Calderdale area and you wish for your young children to learn about the ways of the world, this is your educational establishment. 

                                                              Fit For Purpose?

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Due to the nature of this post, only the introduction is being made publicly available with the remainder of the article only being accessible to our trading team and primary brokers.

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1. Match Fixing in The Premier League

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2. Historical Match Fixing in the Championship/ The Elevation of West Bromwich Albion

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For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed  
© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Monday, 6 January 2014

Crying Child, English Football (Insider Trading And Match Fixing?)

                                   The Magic Of The Cup Or The Tragic Of The Muck?                                         

Insider Trading And Match Fixing?

Nottingham Forest opened at 3.20 (11/5) in places for their FA Cup tie versus West Ham United.

By kick off, Nottingham Forest were 1.35 (4/11) at 10Bet.

West Ham drifted from Evens to 9/2.

Turnover was of a level normally seen in Big Six Premier League clashes.

IN OUR DATABASE OF OVER 80,000 GAMES COVERING TWO DECADES OF GLOBAL FOOTBALL WE HAVE NEVER WITNESSED SUCH PRICE DYNAMICS (WITH VOLUME) AS EXISTED ON THIS MATCH.

But...

Over 50% of the pre-match volume was traded before the West Ham team was made public...
... that was the team with 9 changes and three debutants and a 3 man defence where two players were making their first appearances of the season and the other was a midfielder who had been out for a month. A couple of substitutes were also debutants.

Oh, and a change of goalkeeper.

After losing 5-0, the West Ham hierarchy are offering a VIP package to the child filmed crying during this allegedly competitive game.

Looking at the betting patterns, that is the very least that the club should be doing.

If any one person involved in the match underperformed due to knowledge of the global gamble then we are dealing with match fixing.

Insider trading or...
... match fixing AND insider trading? 
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When even youngsters know that they are being ripped off, the insider bettors really do not see reality in the same way as the rest of us.

Meanwhile in a parallel universe, Gordon Strachan, the Ladbrokes ambassador (for feck's sake?!), informed us on the ITV FA Cup highlights show: "The fans know nothing."

Which may be the case but at least they know enough to understand that they have just witnessed the biggest insider gamble for two decades and on a terrestrial televised match just two months into The English Match Fixing Scandal...

... even more audacious if it turns out to be match fixing!

IT IS ENTIRELY VALID TO REST PLAYERS...
... IT ISN'T VALID WHEN KNOWLEDGE OF THIS SELECTION SURFACES VIA SOME PEOPLE IN-THE-KNOW AS A COLOSSAL CO-ORDINATED INSIDER GAMBLE ACROSS THE PLANET.

THE INFORMATION SHOULD HAVE BEEN MADE PUBLIC EARLIER SO THAT ITV DIDN'T PAY TO BROADCAST WEST HAM 3RD TEAM AND FANS DIDNT WASTE THEIR MONEY.

FANS PAY THEIR AUSTERITY-BITTEN EARNINGS TO WATCH FOOTBALL - NOT A BETTING SCANDAL UNFOLDING.

THIS INSIDER GAMBLE MASSIVELY DISTORTED AND CORRUPTED THE MARKETS FOR PRIVATE PROFIT.

AND IF THAT ISN'T ILLICIT INSIDER TRADING THEN WHAT THE FECK IS?  

BUT THE LIQUIDITY SUGGESTS THAT SOME PEOPLE WERE IN NO DOUBT AS TO THE OUTCOME AND THAT MAKES THIS EVENT SOMETHING FAR MORE SIGNIFICANT.

And even if this is solely an example of sociopathic insider trading...
... in financial markets in Britain, insider trading used to be regarded as a perk of the job before regulation was introduced. 
Now people are occasionally jailed for such psychopathy.

Why is insider trading on football seen differently?
Or have we become so inured to the corruption in the game that fans also see insider betting as merely being a perk of the job?

When bookies see such insider volume, the markets should be suspended as they are corrupted. All bets should be cancelled. End of...
Instead, the bookmakers trade it elsewhere for private profit. 

And that makes little boys cry! 

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Meanwhile the authorities focus their concerted attentions on accusing some Black men of getting booked deliberately...

DJ Campbell Is Innocent...
... Relatively.
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This blog post is no accusation against any individual or grouping of individuals.
But some insiders, those in-the-know, people in the loop, exploited inside knowledge to profit from a compromised market.
Our primary point is that this opportunity should not exist.
It is a loophole.

Bookies pass the knowledge around the world in a pyramid scheme of insider exploitation of the market until some offshore layer is left holding the liquidity parcel when the music stops.

This isn't a legitimate market.
It is a poker play.

But you cannot blame people for exploiting opportunities that come their way...
... it is the infrastructure of the game architected by the authorities that allow this casino to exist.

Until global betting markets are regulated, globally, and there is a compulsion for club officials to make public new knowledge that impacts upon the markets, these farces will recur recurrently.

Football markets are highly liquid global markets and should be treated as such.

If the information had been made public then ITV wouldn't have covered the game, bookmakers would have priced the market correctly, advertisers wouldn't be peeved about viewing figures, the FA Cup brand wouldn't have been tainted and, most importantly of all, West Ham fans wouldn't have wasted their money on a 3rd team game away from home with defeat a certainty.

After all, a debutant, a seasonal debutant and a midfielder who has not played in a month in a three man defence in front of a new goalie still perfecting his English is a given if you are in receipt of the knowledge!

http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/how-to-solve-match-fixing-once-and-for.html 


For many more itemised angles on corruption follow us on Twitter @FootballIsFixed  
© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Sunday, 5 January 2014

Football Is Fecked

It is worthy of remembrance that Football Is Fixed was launched on November 11th 2006.

We have been exposing corruption in world football, with particular focus on the Premier League, for over seven years.
We have published over 1250 posts in that time (the vast majority now archived).

The first post 'Manipulated Markets' is reproduced in part below...
... we wouldn't alter one single word.

"English Football is currently reeling from the impacts of the Stevens inquiry into the bung culture, the standard and ethics of referees and the revelation that Victor Chandler International allegedly took bets from some Premiership Managers and Players. The words “tip” and “iceberg” spring to mind.
I have traded professionally on global football betting markets for the past 15 years. In my experience, all the brokers, market makers and bookmakers that I have traded with take bets from insiders in the game. It is regarded as buying information. Undoubtedly, some of this exchange of information borders on the corrupt. The recent betting scandal in Germany and the uproar in Italy’s Serie A show that this isn’t merely a British problem.
Asian Market Makers regularly accept bets of greater than £1million without blinking (Gianluigi Buffon – the Juventus goalkeeper – was found with betting slips for several million euros in his possession during the Moggiopoli scandal). Inevitably, the liquidity of the Asian markets persuades some football people to enhance their earning capacities. To my knowledge, such individuals include players, managers, referees, bookmakers, agents and the criminal fringe. It isn’t just the Italian mafia centres of Napoli, Palermo and Reggio di Calabria that are actively involved in football markets!
To date, all attempts to clean up the game have been peripheral. In Germany, some selective sweeping under the carpet and wrist slapping went on in response to the referee Robert Hoyzer admitting that he took money to alter football match outcomes. But, I believe that there are other match officials in the Bundesliga who were merely demoted or, indeed, allowed to continue to officiate. In Italy, in the aftermath of calciocaos, two referees were suspended but the other six who were under investigation are still involved in Serie A.
Although there are many corrupt players, it is the match officials who are the key component of this crisis. Some have links to individual clubs, some to bookmakers and some to the underworld. There are also many honest people in the game who are just trying to do their jobs. However, until football cleans up its act, corruption will persist. Falling attendances in Italy and England are partially related to deficiencies in the sport on offer. Although the prawn sandwich brigade remain oblivious to anything, the true fans know when they are being short changed. The recent assertion by Graeme Souness that British football is “the most honest in Europe” is simply laughable."
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We selected the name 'Football Is Fixed' in an act of strategic duality whereby the fact that football was/is fixed could be offset by it eventually being mended - so football would indeed become fixed!
Foolish hope.

We outlined in a recent post six areas that have to be addressed if football is to elevate itself above a version of horseracing with a ball and goalposts (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/how-to-solve-match-fixing-once-and-for.html).
The probability of even one area being addressed with integrity is remote!

But, even if we were to live in a world where betting markets could be regulated to prevent match fixing, the rules to be put in place would be Swiss-cheesed with loopholes to enable the same corruptions to happen again.
Over time, these loopholes would expand into newly available structures to enable future match fixing...
... just like capitalism after the Depression.

So, further attempts to rescue the game are now seen as futile.

To commemorate this momentous state of affairs, we are renaming our Twitter feed FIXBALL IS FECKED.

In the future, blog posts will become less frequent but still hard hitting.
___________________________________________________________________________________

Our time ahead is to be taken up with the FIFAss - a closed-ended hedge fund which is being launched later this month and is already fully subscribed, a mobile phone App offering betting advices, information and support to be released in time for the World Cup, plus club consultancies outside of Britain as the English game is, in the words of Sir Bob Russell MP, "rotten to the core"...
... listen up - not one bad apple but rotten to the core!

In example, our primary Asian broker has provided us with details of the 17 largest bets placed on Premier League games this season...
... 16 have won, one referee has been involved in 8 of the games and another in 6!

WE COULD, IF WE SO WISHED, ENTIRELY DEMOLISH ENGLISH FOOTBALL - WE HAVE BETTING PATTERNS, RECORDED MEETINGS AND PHONE CONVERSATIONS, TESTIMONIES, POLICE RECORDS OF THREATS RECEIVED, FULSOME DETAILS OF SPECIFIC INSIDER TRADING AND MATCH RIGGING AND STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT PATTERNS THAT REVEAL THE CORRUPTIONS UNDERPINNING ENGLISH FOOTBALL AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS.
THE DATA, INFORMATION AND KNOWLEDGE LODGED WITH OUR LAWYERS ARE DAMNING.

IF WE THOUGHT THAT IT WOULD MAKE ANY DIFFERENCE TO THE FUTURE INTEGRITY OF THE ENGLISH GAME, WE WOULD PUBLISH THIS INFORMATION.

BUT IT WOULDN'T.

WHAT IS THE POINT IN FULLY DISCLOSING AND ITEMISING THE MATCH FIXING BY OWNERS, AGENTS, REFEREES AND PLAYERS WHEN THE ORCHESTRATORS OF THE INFRASTRUCTURES THAT ALLOW MATCH FIXING ARE IN THE CORRIDORS OF POWER AT FIFA, UEFA, INTERPOL, THE PREMIER LEAGUE, THE FOOTBALL ASSOCIATION, THE FOOTBALL LEAGUE AND A WHOLE ARRAY OF GLOBAL BOOKMAKERS?

INSTEAD THE FULL PROOF REMAINS AS OUR COLLECTIVE SECURITY.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Saturday, 4 January 2014

#YouAreFootball

"You Are Football" cried the investment and retail bank.

"And You Are A Wunch Of Bankers" chorused the fans...

If Barclays Bank were a human being living in Britain, the individual would be sectioned under the Mental Health Act for a peculiar combination of psychopathy and self-harming.

If Barclays Bank were a human being living in California, three strikes and you're out would mean that the bank would now be serving four concurrent life sentences.

Systemic and sociopathic, private and psychopathic abuses AND reputational damage are the bank's core competencies.

By constantly pushing the boundaries of legality and illegality and then some, the bank invites chaos into its world and ours.
And has done so for decades.

It all started with the support of the apartheid regime in South Africa and, in the last half decade alone, we have witnessed accusations of money laundering, the senior management bonus scandal, subprime mortgage corruptions, tax avoidance via an elaborate circuit of Cayman Islands companies, promotion of tax havens, having to make tax repayments over false claiming of tax credits, fined for conflict of interest in the Del Monte buyout, while for its part in the Libor rate-fixing scandal the bank had to pay the FSA the biggest fine it had ever imposed in its history, the bank has also been fined for attempting to manipulate and fix the US electricity market, and then there is the ongoing Qatari capital raising regulatory investigation, and the major role played by the bank in the misselling of payment protection insurance etc etc.

But the biggest self-harming reputational damage is still to come...
... when, in the window ahead, it is shown that both systemic and private match fixing dominates the world's self-styled biggest league, the Premier League, Barclay's global image will take a further battering - the bank not only rips us all off repeatedly but also profits from a brand that is destroying our sport.

Disinvest or close your accounts with this monstrosity now.

© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Friday, 3 January 2014

The Demise Of Glasgow Rangers (As Foretold By Monty Python)


A new owner enters a football club.

New Owner: 'Ello, I wish to register a complaint.

(The Original Owner does not respond.)
NO: 'Ello, Miss?

OO: What do you mean "miss"?
NO: I'm sorry, I have a cold. I wish to make a complaint!

OO: We're closin' for lunch.
NO: Never mind that, my lad. I wish to complain about this football club what I purchased not half an hour ago from this very boutique.

OO: Oh yes, the, uh, the Glasgow Blue...What's,uh...What's wrong with it?
NO: I'll tell you what's wrong with it, my lad. It's dead, that's what's wrong with it!

OO: No, no, it's uh,...it's resting.
NO: Look, matey, I know a dead football club when I see one, and I'm looking at one right now.

OO: No no it's not dead, it's, it's restin'! Remarkable club, the Glasgow Blue, idn'it, ay? Beautiful plumage!
NO: The plumage don't enter into it. It's stone dead.

OO: Nononono, no, no! It's resting!
NO: All right then, if it's restin', I'll wake it up!

(shouting at the table)

'Ello, Mister Football Club! I've got a lovely fresh corruption for you if you show...(original owner hits the table)

OO: There, it moved!
NO: No, it didn't, that was you hitting the table!

OO: I never!!
NO: Yes, you did!

OO: I never, never did anything...
NO: (yelling and hitting the table repeatedly) 'ELLO HUNNY!!!!!

Testing! Testing! Testing! Testing! This is your nine o'clock alarm call!

(Takes football club off the table and thumps its head on the chair. Throws it up in the air and watches it plummet to the floor.)
NO: Now that's what I call a dead football club.

OO: No, no.....No, it's stunned!
NO: STUNNED?!?

OO: Yeah! You stunned him, just as he was wakin' up! Glasgow Blues stun easily, major.
NO: Um...now look...now look, mate, I've definitely 'ad enough of this. That football club is definitely deceased, and when I purchased it not 'alf an hour ago, you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to it bein' tired and shagged out following a prolonged court case.

OO: Well, it's...it's, ah...probably pining for the courts.

NO: PININ' for the COURTS?!?!?!? What kind of talk is that?, look, why did it fall flat on it's back the moment I got it home?

OO: The Glasgow Blue prefers kippin' on it's back! Remarkable club, id'nit, squire? Lovely plumage!
NO: Look, I took the liberty of examining that football club when I got it home, and I discovered the only reason that it had been upright in the first place was that it had been NAILED there.

(pause)

OO: Well, o'course it was nailed there! If I hadn't nailed that club down, it would have nuzzled up to those bars, bent 'em apart, and VOOM! Feeweeweewee!

NO: "VOOM"?!? Mate, this club wouldn't "voom" if you put four million volts through it! It's bleedin' demised!

OO: No no! It's pining!
NO: It's not pinin'! It's passed on! This football club is no more! It has ceased to be! It's expired and gone to meet it's maker!

'It's a stiff! Bereft of life, it rests in peace! If you hadn't nailed it to the ground it'd be pushing up the daisies! It's metabolic processes are now 'istory! 'It's off the twig!
'It's kicked the bucket, it's shuffled off it's mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisible!!

THIS IS AN EX-FOOTBALL CLUB!!

(pause)

OO: Well, I'd better replace it, then.

(he takes a quick peek behind the table)

OO: Sorry squire, I've had a look 'round the back, and uh, we're right out of Glasgow Blues. They've recently become extinct.
NO: I see. I see, I get the picture.

OO: I got a Sevconian Slug.

(pause)
NO: (sweet as sugar) Pray, does it corrupt relentlessly?

OO: Dunno.

NO: WELL IT'S HARDLY A BLOODY REPLACEMENT, IS IT?!!???!!?



© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Tuesday, 31 December 2013

Celtic Schisms

Introduction

Celtic FC has a history and a network like no other.

The Irish Republican politics, the ground-breaking Lisbon Lions, the intense support (ask Messi or Maldini), the global fanbase, the web of talented individuals who have given and still freely give their time, money and expertise to advance the club strategically...
... or, in the case of John Keane, to save the club from financial oblivion.

All of the great global football teams have this linkage with history and political purpose and a sense of community.

But the impact of the current fallout between the Celtic financial hierarchy and the real owners of the club, the fans, is a major dysfunction that must be solved immediately before it creates yet more harm for the club.

                        Unfortunately, in postmodern football, history and politics are problems

For five days in September, I had the very best job in the world - a high level consultancy with Celtic to enable passage to the 2nd Phase of the Champions League this season.

Unfortunately Peter Lawwell, in his own heroic way, pulled on the deal.

The holistic of the consultancy was to protect Celtic against corruptions that occur to undermine the strategies of the club in the Champions League.
The irony of the failure to conclude the agreement is obvious.
We are a cellular grouping of forensic analysts revealing corruptions and Celtic are a football team owned by a bookmaker, Dermot Desmond (Betdaq supremo).

We have been informed that it was deemed too risky to proceed with the consultancy in case we came across internal issues in our monitoring of the external.

As a result, the club strategy for this year's Champions League Group Stage was diabolical in the early stages (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/09/one-love-art-of-war.html).

And it did not improve thereafter.
The same strategic errors were repeated as last season with some new ones thrown in for good measure. No lessons have been learnt and the structure is simply one of the blind paying one another to lead one another blindly.

Nobody within the club hierarchy nor any of the agents leeching onto the club have any perception of UEFA hidden agendas and internal power-plays and linkages etc etc.
The club do not possess the template to even start planning any strategy for Champions League and future European Super League success.

As we are no longer willing to work with the club under the current regime, we are limited as to the solutions that we are able to offer in this place.
But we have found four areas worthy of discussion without impinging on any of our isolationist thresholds.

1. Club Interests Versus Private Agendas

We originally approached Celtic when we were informed via a contact within UEFA that the European governing body were going to be taking a very close look at the Champions League Qualifier between Cliftonville and Celtic in case any politics were seen in the UEFA sphere.

The UEFA Champions League, by and large, is a marketing process.
It is not feasible for Celtic to celebrate their past as this does not fit in with the UEFA brand - pony-tailed ball skills with a pirouette are preferred to anything approaching political reality.

Part of my discussions with Lawwell centred on this very point - he understands totally that the fans are the biggest asset of the club but wishes to cleanse them of their history to optimise European performance and cashflow.

One could call this a strategy (even if one views it as an inappropriate one)...
... but the club then sell short of achieving that 'optimisation' by focus on their own private agendas and connections.
When it comes to push versus shove, club versus self, enlightened self-interest wins the day.

If the club hierarchy are going to sell out on the fans, the history, the raison d'etre and grasp a share of this UEFA nirvana for the Celtic Brand, then surely they need to focus on the success of this brand absolutely rather than allowing their own private considerations to come into play.

At the moment, this is not happening.
__________________________________________________________________________________

2. Politics

Bobby Sands MP, representing the Anti H-Block party, was elected as a member of the British parliament in 1981.

30,493 people voted for him in the Fermanagh and South Tyrone constituency.
There was an 86.9% turnout.
Sands had a public mandate to fight against inappropriate state power and terror...
... exactly the same as Nelson Mandela who was eulogised by UEFA after his death.

When the club were being punished by UEFA for displaying political imagery, why didn't the hierarchy point out the equivalence between the politics and strategies of Sands/IRA when compared with Mandela/ANC?

After all, Cameron wanted Mandela to hang, Thatcher thought him a terrorist and the US agreed by keeping him on their list of global terrorists until 2008 before he was whitewashed into someone else.

Instead the club have allowed their club brand to be demoted in the UEFA marketing pyramid without offering a stout defence.
__________________________________________________________________________________

3. Club Ownership

As we have pointed out before (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/how-to-solve-match-fixing-once-and-for.html) there are potentially issues of integrity when bookmakers own football clubs.

We have NO evidence of inappropriate fixing of Celtic matches due to Desmond/Betdaq link but this is a structure that should generally be regarded as one being primed for shenanigans.

And we are always wary of bookmakers that, like Betdaq, do not allow winning accounts as, after all, if you are not allowed to win off a bookmaker then the business interaction is something else entirely!

There must be occasions when Desmond's personal financial focus is different to that of the club...
... and this must be a concern.

When board members and club agents are known to bet on Celtic matches, is it invalid to express concern that people higher up the hierarchy might conceivably share a similar inclination?

And, as a background, there is something vaguely distasteful about Desmond being £2 million in pocket, Lawwell annually heating his driveway with £700K while the club refuses to pay a Living Wage at the bottom of the pyramid.
__________________________________________________________________________________

4. A Way Forward

The atmosphere at the recent Hearts match was truly depressing.
Things need to change.
And fast.

From our position, we might suggest a discussion based around very basic foundational areas:

Who owns the club? The financial hierarchy or the fans? How might co-ownership be achieved?  What happens when the needs of the club differ from those paid to manage it?

Decisions made in the imminent future will determine the future of Celtic for decades to come.

Time to get strategic. 
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________

For Celtic to be self-harming in this window of massive monopolistic competitive opportunity in Scotland is a crying shame.
To waste all this energy turning inwards rather than planning for a brighter future in the European Super League is only helping one team, Sevconians.

And Lawwell was wrong on this too...
... Sevconians are not an imitation of a reality in the sense of Rory Bremner doing Tony Blair, because the real Tony Blair (unfortunately) still exists while the comedian performs his parallel.

Sevconians are actually a posthumous tribute act - just like a Michael Jackson one or an Elvis one...
... only with weaker songs.

Rangers no longer exist and Sevconians merely allow a little nostalgia and reminiscence for those who still care.

Rangers are the past. Not the future. 
Just mock them.

Hail Hail Hogmanay!


                                      For The Sake Of All Their Crimes - Billy No'Well


© Football is Fixed 2006-2013 

Friday, 13 December 2013

How To Solve Match Fixing Once And For All

Yesterday, Liberal Democrat MP Sir Bob Russell said that English professional football is "rotten to the core" and that a Royal Commission is required to clean up football with "parasitic agents" being the major problem.

If any such Royal Commission is to work then it will need to thoroughly address the six points outlined below.
Otherwise the game is up.
 
Also yesterday, UEFA announced that they are drafting an 11-point plan aimed to eradicate match-fixing, labelling it their 'top priority'.

Unfortunately, skimming over the pitch put forward by the aptly named UEFA general secretary Gianni Infantino, we can only expect peripheral tinkering akin to that achieved by the British government's select committee who reported last summer.
__________________________________________________________________________________

On Tuesday night, there was a highly suspicious match between FC Bayern and Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/was-fc-bayern-versus-manchester-city-fix.html) (http://footballisfixed.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/the-fixing-of-champions-league-games.html).

We may be polemical but there is evidently a case to be answered here.
This is a suspicious event between the Champions League holders and the richest club in the world!
And media silence.

Instead UEFA claim only 0.7% of matches are fixed and the mainstream media in Britain focuses on Whitehawk FC and DJ Campbell.

Infantino also indicated that UEFA want to strengthen the links between sports authorities and state bodies but this is a structure that can backfire dependent on who represents the state - there are many countries where state interference would only serve to increase the corruption.

We are employed by clubs as leech consultants.
We protect clubs against systemic and particular corruptions against their interests.
We analyse the zeitgeist of corruption.

To us, the most astonishing aspect of the match fixing 'crisis' is that when we have seen that government, the mainstream media, investment banking, the police, retail banks, the utilities, many other sports are all corrupted, there is this religious belief that, somehow, top level football is not tainted.
Football has taken over from religion - everybody is 'Something FC 'til I Die'.
And we don't want our New Deity to be killed off just yet.

But if football really wants to save itself from the neohyperrealities of the present systemic corruptions, it needs to implement every single one of the points below in their entirety.

No pseudo-11 point plan but an overhaul of an entirely corrupt mechanism from top to bottom.
But starting at the top.

DJ Campbell Is Innocent!
_________________________________________________________________________________

1. The Betting Markets and Insider Trading

The primary concern are the global betting markets.
There are three levels of market activity - the public markets, the Dark Pools and the illegal underground markets based largely but not exclusively in South East Asia.

With a global network of this type, there has to be global regulation with jail sentences and life bans for miscreants.
The global betting market turnover on football is thought to have reached £1 trillion.
£1 trillion is 40% of the Britain's annual GDP!!

All markets must be public.
All trading by insiders must be registered with a Commitment of Traders body to prevent inside knowledge being exploited.
All players, referees, agents, managers should be banned from betting entirely.
All suspicious betting must be reported to forensic analysts to detect fraudulent behaviour - the current level of expertise exhibited by Early Warning, Interpol/ Europol etc is not professional enough (we are able to detect insider betting and match fixing in many more games than 0.7%!!).
All spot-markets should be banned.
All Dark Pool activity must be regulated and made public, the same with the Asian underground and the developing undergrounds in Dubai, the Caribbean, numerous British offshore territories, Moscow, Tel Aviv, Tbilisi, Nigeria, Australia, the US and Canada, Brazil, Mumbai etc.

2. Agents and the Markets

Every single football agent that I have ever met has been criminalised!

Agents are a lubricant in the game and, in addition to leeching money from the sport, they facilitate corruptions relating to both the betting markets and the transfer markets.

Ownership of goalkeepers, linkage with referees (see below), multiple ownership of players in a game, even more extensive multiple ownership via linkage with other agents in a fragmented cartel of illicit match fixing and betting market activity.
Accordingly agents not only distort, corrupt and profit from the betting markets that they exploit, they degenerate the sport and impact upon trophies being won and relegations/ promotions etc.
The careers of players are also affected by these corruptions and the fan is forced to watch events where the outcome is clearly visible in underground betting markets pre-match!

Agents corrupt Champions League games at the highest level and yet UEFA do nothing.

Agents also, as is their wont, exploit the transfer market via 3rd party ownership.

There is no regulation for agents.
And no regulation or self-regulation is pointless.
Agents distort every single aspect of the sport and often utilise business practices that border on the slave trade when it comes to footballers from Africa and certain South and Central American countries.
Coercion of players relating to the betting markets is a major issue.
Additionally, under the table payments are the norm and ownership networks are structured similarly to the Tor proxy server concept!

Agents must be regulated.

3. Club Owners

Surely it is asking for trouble if club owners double as bookmakers.

There will inevitably be occasions when the financial self-interest of Mr Bet 365 The Bookmaker will trump the interests of Mr Bet 365 The Football Club (Stoke City) - the only issue is whether such self-interest is implemented.
Additionally, this incentive to fix can result in club owners stopping their own teams from winning to the absolute detriment of the fans who are paying the wages and the integrity of the game.

All club ownership should be open rather than underground and opaque.
Fit and proper persons rulings should be robust and thoroughly implemented - the Championship in England is a veritable Hotch Potch of Inappropriates when it comes to club ownership...
... and the Premier League is only marginally better.

4. Referees

Referees are an issue.
Relatively underpaid in a millionaire's paradise, they are ripe for corruption.

Referees are chosen from too small a pool (only 18 for the Premier League - the most liquid betting market on the planet, for example) and have very long careers.
Market ownership of a referee is a big earner for both parties.
Referees are additionally 'owned' by other participants in the game - clubs, mafia, even UEFA chooses referees relating to its own annual marketing plan AND the importance of allegiance to the G14(18) power base of clubs.

If referees were selected meritocratically then corruption from this source would be harder to implement.
To this end, the ratings of referees need to be made public and the implementation of video technology (see next point) will enable 'under-achievers' to be rooted out and discarded.

5. Video Technology

It is more critical for football to have video technology than cricket, tennis or rugby yet the authorities refuse to introduce anything more than goalline technology. Why?

An incorrect wicket in cricket, line call in tennis or try in rugby is rarely match changing yet those sports guard against such occurrences by using technology ...
... in football a goal or a penalty or a sending off very frequently is a match changing event and yet we have virtually nothing.

Up to 40 wickets in a Test Match, 240 points in a tennis match, half a dozen tries in a game of rugby...
... and one goal.

Furthermore, because professional footballers are well aware of the corruptions taking place, once a referee signals his intent, there is a psychological deflation in the victim team.

The most striking aspect of watching cricket or rugby is how fan conversation always relates to the game itself due to the utilisation of video technology for virtually all contentious decisions.
This serves to produce the correct result, massively reduce corruption and act as a measurement of performance of referees and umpires.

The argument that it would slow down the game is fatuous.

It would add excitement if marketed correctly.
UEFA and the Premier League would be able to bombard us with messages from their media partners while we waited to see if it is a penalty or not!

6. Whistleblowing Hotline

When we have meetings with administrative bodies, chief executives, football managers, club owners, analysts, bookmakers, many fans, there is acceptance that football is corrupt but that nobody is going to do anything about it due to both financial self-interest and fear.

Remember Mike Newell? He soon disappeared from the game!

A global whistleblowing hotline needs to be set up to allow knowledge of match fixing to be made available to the various bodies that will need to be established for Points 1-5 to be achieved.
This must be anonymous and rewarded.
__________________________________________________________________________________

People like ourselves who receive threats and menaces due to their efforts to expose football that is "riddled with corruption" need to be protected.

The sport is flooded with mafiosi interests - at the moment, I am enjoying extensive conversations with a contact over the role of Serbian mafia in Italian and Serbian football and the role of Albanian mafia in the Austrian game.

But such groups are only able to exploit the integrity of football due to an entire lack of regulation in many areas and loopholes elsewhere.
If FIFA and UEFA eliminated these distortions, we could have betting markets on a level playing field and football would not be fixed. 


We are taking serious existential risks to disclose these neohyperrealities of modern football.

THIS IS NOT HOW IT SHOULD BE.

__________________________________________________________________________________

NB: Please note that myself or other members of our cellular body are available for media in this window. 
You can reach us via a Direct Message at Twitter (@footballisfixed) or via email (footballisfixed02@googlemail.com).


© Football is Fixed 2006-2013

Thursday, 12 December 2013

Football Markets Are Not The Only Markets That Are Fecked

Eugene Fama was one of three winners of the Nobel Prize for Economics this year.

His hypothesis regarding the efficiency of financial markets is indeed elegant (which sometimes is enough for an award to be made) but it is also utterly and completely wrong.
Not particularly impressed with his Fama-French Three-Factor Model either (but more on that later).

If there were no government interferences, no psychopathies, no behavioural irrationalities, no corruptions nor criminalities and if market sectors didn't always evolve towards maturity, he would be right.
But as these inputs drive all markets, the laureate is surely wrong.

Fama's Efficient Markets Hypothesis was put forward in 1970 and formed an intellectual basis for the shock doctrine disaster neo-capitalism that the world has experienced since.
By being a part of the "intellectual" framework gathered as an neo-con edifice at the University of Chicago, Fama bears some responsibility for this sociopathic system.

So, what is Gene's hypothesis and why is it incorrect?

The Efficient Markets Hypothesis is split into three levels - strong-form, semi-strong-form and weak-form efficiency.
Strong-form suggests that market prices reflect all information, public and private, and it is not possible for anyone to earn excess returns.
In semi-stong-form, prices adjust to new information rapidly and rationally.
While in weak-form structures, prices simply follow a random walk.

Before we go any further we need to look at the architecture of markets.
The public markets are just the top of an iceberg of submerged Dark Pool markets - there are hundreds of unregulated Dark Pools where insiders trade against insiders in markets that the public only sees when an excess of over-enthusiasm occurs. It is in these markets that the big market plays are made not the public ones.

For all assessments of Fama's Hypothesis, therefore, it will need to be addressed on two levels - the public markets and the Dark Pools.

1) The most dominant input to the wrongness of Fama's Hypothesis is behaviouralism.
Work in the sixties by Daniel Kahnemann, Amos Tversky, Paul Slovic and Richard Thaler had already introduced psychology to the market and, in 1979, Kahnemann and Tversky developed Prospect Theory which represented the final psychological nail in the coffin of Efficient Markets. Investors do not behave in a rational manner in the marketplace for a whole continuum of different reasons that both exist within themselves and also interact in complex ways between themselves to produce the behaviours that we project. Market prices represent mass human psychology far more than they do unproved economic fundamentals.
So by 1979, Fama's Hypothesis should have been put to bed...
... unfortunately, it took the blinkered Chicago School until 2007 to acknowledge the impact of behaviouralism in markets, attempting to convince us in the meantime that an efficient pricing infrastructure underpinned the alleged validity of Friedmanian late capitalism..

Slavoj Žižek: "The problem is today when you have chaos or disorder, people lose their cognitive mapping."

2) All of the information is not in the market. Even if behaviouralism did not exist and we were all perfectly rational in all of our decision-making, efficient markets would be compromised on all three levels of Fama's efficiency hierarchy.
Public markets are largely inefficient being too far from the core Dark Pools to be benefiting instantaneously to the flow of real information. The public markets offer a distilled filtered form of this driving underground Dark Pool marketplace. Dark Pool trading strategies become converted into a holistic market strategy as Dark Pool liabilities are hedged in the public sphere.

What about the Dark Pools?
Are they a proof of Fama efficiencies?

No.
Behaviouralism is a "plug in" in any market, public or Dark Pool.
Additionally, the information flow in Dark Pools is, by its very nature, opaque.
Proxy trading, algorithmic distortions, hidden players away from the table, consortia strategies, disinformational trading, cornered markets etc etc.
At any given time, the market tends to inefficiency.
As mature markets might evolve into anything the primary operators desire, the price can be anything too.

Mature markets (and these are the ones most traded in the Dark Pools) are largely under the absolute control of a small grouping of operations, think OPEC. Individual members of OPEC have their own hidden agendas over and above the shared agenda with fellow members. Even when the structure is held in place with extra robustness due to government scaffolding around the market, the major player(s) is/are still able to make the market whatever they desire whenever they desire.
In effect monopolistic corruption distorts any semblance of efficiency in the market while duopolistic or cartel behaviour offers a slightly diluted version of the same.

3) Disaster capitalism undermines any efficiency in any financial market.
The Friedmanian disaster capitalism complex thrives on chaos. When a disaster strikes or, as in the case of Chile, is created, the Chicago school Hayekians move in with their shock tactics to further destabilise an already destabilised people. As US security entities move into the vacuum, the markets are utterly chaotic. Although some efficiency and robustness is added to the marketplace ironically by the strategies of these security operations (the same template being micro-adjusted from territory to territory) the holistic performance of the markets is driven by irrationalities and the efficiencies fall off the bottom of Fama's ratings chart.

4) Private information is introduced to the market in a variety of strategies that, by their very nature, imply market inefficiencies being created for the advantage of Dark Pool operations.
Knowledge within a company, governmental or central bank policies, trading disinformation for future profits, competitive market poker play all are based around the possession of the ultimate power play for the marketplace. Just think of the variety of ways in which, say, Ben Bernanke could have utilised his absolute knowledge of the variables related to quantitative easing. An individual, with evolving strategies, could make money without the full reality hitting the market by placing trades laterally and peripherally.

Noam Chomsky would call this "cogntive regulatory capture" and it is a structure typical of late capitalism.

5) The most obvious way in which financial markets are inefficient is by their refusal to accept the cost of externalities in the price of an asset.
How on earth can a price be efficient in the holistic sense if externalities are not included in the calculation? The price can only be considered in any way efficient in short time frames as, when the true costs are included, the asset value is very different indeed. The timing of this market implosion can be an unknown variable.

Friedmanism underprices risk and ignores externalities.
The eventual impact of these externalities is infrastructurally significant.

Andrew Haldane, who should have been made governor of the Bank of England, calls this "disaster myopia".

Disaster myopia in disaster capitalism complex!

Although Dark Pools are displaced up the efficiency hierarchy due to lack of time lag and the primary element in the insider trading, the market increase in efficiency is only marginal and only due to corrupting inputs being introduced to the market price.
If all corrupt inputs in a mature market could be known and assessed both singly and in association with one another, only then might a corrupt market approach strong-form efficiency and in a non-regulated marketplace this is simply not going to occur.

Which brings us to the conclusion of yet another aspect of the fake of Friedmanism.

Fama's only other claim to fame is the Fama-French Three-Factor Model.
This attempts to replace the old Capital Asset Pricing Model (which, by the way, is also inadequate).
Needless to say the Three-Factor model doesn't work as it ignores corruption and behaviouralism.

Entertainingly, Foye, Mramor and Pahor (2013) have shown an improvement in the performance of the Fama-French model if one of the terms is replaced by a term that acts as a proxy for accounting manipulation!

These papers are amongst the first tentative steps of economics crawling towards holistically analysing the hyperreality.

Benoît Mandelbrot: "Financial economics, as a discipline, is where Chemistry was in the 16th century: a messy compendium of proven know-how, misty folk wisdom, and unexamined assumptions and grandiose speculation."

As a former pupil of Mandelbrot, Fama should know better...
... grandiose models, unexamined inputs, misty economic wisdom mixed with the status quo.

And, anyway, as economics in rather dubious fashion claims to be a science, let's address it as such...

Michel Foucault: "If one recognises in science only the linear accumulation of truths or the orthogenesis of reason, and fails to recognise in it the discursive practice that has its own levels, its own thresholds, its own various ruptures, one can describe only a single historical division, which one adopts as a model to be applied at all times for all forms of knowledge."

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